2년전 이 보고서를 출간한 이후 환경은 제조업체들의 모델 계획에 중요한 영향을 주기 시작했다.
글로벌 오일 가격 상승은 계속 되어 왔고, 우리는 2-3년 내에 예상되는 글로벌 오일 생산 최고점을 히트(도달)하면서 지속적인 가격상승을 예상할수 있다.

최근 2년간 많은 변화가 있었다, 이 새 보고서는 급속히 성장하고 있는 바이오연료 부문에 대한 의제(토론)를 포함해 오늘과 내일의 주요한 요소들에 대해 자세한 정보를 제공한다.

이 토론은 특히 디젤자동차에 관련된 것이다 왜냐하면 디젤연료는 사용할수 있는 소스들에서부터 휘발류보다 훨씬 많은 양이 생산되기 때문이다.



Global market review of diesel technology and markets – forecasts to 2013

Since the last edition of this report two years ago, the environment has started to make a serious impact on manufacturers' model plans. Global oil prices have continued to rise, a pattern we can expect to see continue as we hit global peak oil production, which is expected at some time in the next few years.

Much has changed in those two years, and this new edition looks at the major factors of today and tomorrow, including discussion about the rapidly growing biofuels sector. The discussion is particularly relevant for diesel cars because diesel fuel is produced in greater quantities than gasoline from the available sources.

Forthcoming emissions limits are also beginning to shape diesel engine design, with after-treatment now enabling diesels to meet even the most stringent exhaust emissions limits in force or pending. At the time of publishing, there are currently no diesel hybrid cars in series production but the continuing advances in battery technology and measures to reduce the cost associated with hybrid technology plus the evidence of concept vehicles shown at the 2008 Geneva Show, suggest that we will see them in the next two years.

At the same time, manufacturers are beginning to incorporate the kind of emissions-reducing measures our 2006 report encouraged - for example, applying stop/start systems to mainstream models - while manufacturers like BMW have taken efficiency savings a step further, reducing energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions without having a serious impact on vehicle performance.

The report is broken out into the following chapters:

Chapter 1 Introduction
Provides an overview of what is analysed throughout the report.

Chapter 2 Emissions standards
This chapter has been revised and updated to include the latest major country and regional emissions standards and discusses short-term future standards that may be likely.

Chapter 3 Biofuels: sustainable substitution or red herring?
Rudolf Diesel designed the engine to operate on a variety of fuels from solids such as coal dust to renewable liquids such as peanut oil. With heritage like this, you'd be forgiven for thinking that biofuels would be a natural progression for the life cycle of the segment. This chapter reviews the current and likely biofuels at a regional level including diverse types such as: rapeseed methyl ester (RME), fatty acid methyl ester (FAME), bioethanol, biofuels produced synthetically from biomass, algae micro-organisms and even discussion of fuel derived from a shrub called Jatropha.

Chapter 4 Diesel/electric hybrids
At best, a gasoline/electric hybrid can only hope to match the fuel consumption of a modern diesel, while its advantage would be swiftly lost in long-distance driving where a diesel would return far better fuel economy, and without the additional weight of an electrical drivetrain or the recycling issues presented by hybrid battery packs. This chapter looks at the latest situation regarding hybrids in relation to diesels.

Chapter 5 Fuel injection technology
This chapter reviews the latest fuel injection systems and reviews each major supplier's latest offerings. Suppliers analysed include: Bosch, Delphi, Denso, and Continental Automotive.

Chapter 6 Global diesel markets
In this chapter we have completely reviewed and updated our market estimates and forecasts moving out year-on-year to 2013. This data is backed up by actual volume amounts where applicable. Markets analysed include the European Union, United States and Japan. Volumes of diesel car registrations per year are predicted.

Chapter 7 Manufacturing
In this chapter we will review the major diesel car and engine manufacturers, plus alliances and recent innovations. Percentage share of diesel registrations year-on-year to 2013 are provided for the major manufacturers including BMW and Ford/PSA. Manufacturers analysed include BMW, Daimler, Fiat, GM, Ford/PSA Peugeot Citroën, Honda, Hyundai/Kia, Mitsubishi, Renault/Nissan, Subaru, Toyota/Lexus and Volkswagen.

Chapter 8 provides our authors' conclusions.